How these numbers are calculated
Every figure on this site is arithmetic on two inputs: a live share price and a revenue figure. This page states exactly where each comes from and where the method breaks down.
The calculation
Where the inputs come from
| Input | Source | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| Share prices | Yahoo Finance public chart endpoint | Automatically |
| Shares outstanding | Company filings, cross-checked against IR releases | Quarterly, by hand |
| Revenue & guidance | Nebius Q2 2026 results, and each peer's own results | Quarterly, by hand |
| Private stake values | ClickHouse Series D, Avride round; comparables where no round exists | On announcement |
Where this method is weak
Price-to-sales ignores profitability entirely
A company earning 50% margins and one losing money can show the same P/S. Sales multiples are used here because Nebius is not meaningfully profitable, which makes earnings multiples useless. That is a limitation, not a virtue. Two companies on the same P/S can be worth very different things.
Comparing growth rates through a static multiple is crude
Nebius grew revenue several hundred percent year over year. Microsoft grew in the high teens. Applying Microsoft's multiple to Nebius asks “what if the growth premium disappeared entirely?” That is a real scenario worth sizing, but it is not a prediction, and not a fair like-for-like comparison.
Forward and trailing columns use different bases
Forward multiples use FY2026 guidance where a company has issued it, and trailing revenue where it has not. For the mature companies the two are close. For Nebius and CoreWeave they are far apart, which is why both columns are shown rather than one.
Share counts exclude future dilution
Capital-intensive businesses building data centres raise money. Convertible notes, follow-on offerings and stock compensation all increase the share count over time. These calculations use shares outstanding as last reported, so any implied price is arithmetic on today's count, not tomorrow's.
What has been corrected
| Date | What changed |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Added Nebius's roughly 28% stake in ClickHouse to the sum-of-the-parts page. It had been omitted. Including it raises the non-core total from $2.8–3.1 billion to $6.8–7.3 billion, or 12–13% of market capitalization rather than 5–6%, and lowers the implied multiple on the core AI-cloud business from 16.1–16.2× to 14.8–15.0× forward sales. |